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    January 19

    Chapter 2:Fundamentals of Probability

    Just another chapter for the Statistics

    And the new guy is Lognormal Distribution

    clip_image002[6]

    clip_image002[4]

    clip_image002

    clip_image002[6]

    clip_image002[8]

    if we set clip_image002[1]

    then clip_image002[3]

    If V is the price of a zero-coupon bond

    so we have clip_image002[6] using continuous compounding instead of annual compounding,which implies clip_image002[8].Thus,if clip_image002[10] is normally distributed,V has a lognormal distribution.

    January 17

    Chapter 1:Bond Fundamentals

    duration&convexity

    use it to make a presentation of price-changing

    and to discribe the change of cash flow which are made by the change of yield

    present value&future value

    barbell portfolio&bullet portfolio

    modified duration&Macaulay Duration:D*=D/(1+y)

    frequency of payments

    January 13

    第一天

    开始了塔夫的一年

    零下19度的午夜

    打开潘多拉的盒子

    幸好还有希望